Rolling out a new Edge% metric -
"A while back, Jeff Zimmerman and I introduced the concept of Edge% — a metric that attempted to quantify the extent to which a pitcher worked the edges of the strike zone. Jeff initially looked at how this applied to Tim Lincecum and how his performance depended to some extent on his ability to pitch to the edges of the plate. I followed up with a high-level piece that compared the performance of pitchers at an aggregate level depending on how extreme their Edge% was in a given season.
While the findings were interesting, they were also a little inconsistent. That’s because Jeff and I independently created two distinct metrics. We decided to combine our efforts (as we have been known to do) and settle on a single, consistent formula. And that’s the focus of this article.”
CC Sabathia's Velocity is Definitely Worth Watching -
Low velocity in April isn’t an automatic signal of trouble, but it’s a signal nonetheless
Is Bill James Right about Ground Ball Pitchers and Injuries? -
Examined the hypothesis that ground ball pitchers may be more injury prone
Cano, Granderson, and Other CLIFFORD Candidates for 2013 -
Developed a new metric that flags hitters with a higher likelihood to suffer a major offensive decline in the coming year.
The Difference Pitching on the Edge Makes -
Devised a metric to measure how frequently pitchers throw to the edges and investigated how that correlates to various performance outcomes.
(Re) Introducing Hitter Volatility -
Reintroducing my hitter volatility measure; an attempt to quantify how consistent a hitter’s offensive production is game-to-game.
This isn’t to say that Wright is a lock to make good on this contract. Dave Cameron brought up some valid concerns back in September. However, there is reason to believe that Wright’s 2012 is closer to his true talent level than his 2009-2011. After three straight seasons of poor plate discipline, Wright returned to being a selective hitter. This coincided with the altered dimensions to Citi Field, allowing Wright to return to his old approach of generally driving the ball up the middle and the other way.
All contract extensions are a bet, but for the Mets this is a solid one. They’ve locked up their franchise player for (basically) life, one that has demonstrated that he still has the ability to provide above average value at a difficult defensive position. Moreover, while there still remains some risk that the team will not “break even”, locking up a franchise player to a long term deal that has a solid chance of breaking even is an accomplishment in itself. This is will certainly help with the fan base and provide an anchor as they begin to cycle in new, younger players. — My thoughts on the David Wright extension at FanGraphs